condition in that and international studies, it gener-
ally was not identified as an independent predictor 
of mortality.
“While evidence for hypertension as a risk factor for 
severe COVID-19 is mixed, hypertension consistently 
ranks as one of the most prevalent underlying conditions 
across numerous studies,” the researchers wrote. 
“In our study, hypertension was the most frequent 
significant risk factor observed (present in 82.0% of sig-
nificant combinations). The absence of hypertension as 
a highlighted independent risk factor in official CDC 
guidance may result in missed opportunities to identify 
and manage at-risk patients, particularly in terms of 
encouraging these patients to stay up-to-date on vac-
cination and facilitating access to effective COVID-19 
antiviral treatment,” the authors advised.
They pointed out that heart conditions and smoking 
often emerged as key contributors to severe COVID-19 
outcomes, in combination with other chronic condi-
tions. “Hypertension most frequently overlapped with 
heart conditions, not-up-to date on COVID-19 vacci-
nation, and smoking (approx. > 57% of combinations),” 
the researchers noted. “Additionally, other cardiometa-
bolic 
conditions, 
such 
as diabetes mellitus and 
obesity, were observed in 
several of the top 20 com-
binations of risk factors 
with the highest risk of 
30-day severe COVID-19. 
Previous work has demon-
strated that clusters of car-
diometabolic 
conditions 
are associated with severe 
COVID-19. The frequent 
overlap of these conditions 
highlights the importance 
of coordinated approaches 
to mitigate their collec-
tive impact on severe 
COVID-19.”
One of the surpris-
ing findings was that the 
overwhelming 
majority 
of the study participants, 
nearly two-thirds, were 
not up-to-date on their 
COVID-19 vaccinations. 
The authors said that risk 
factor was among the most 
frequently observed in significant combinations and that 
“all of the top 20 combinations linked to the greatest 
adjusted 30-day risk of severe COVID-19 included both 
age ≥ 50 years and not being up to date on vaccination.”
“Maintaining up-to-date COVID-19 vaccination is 
critical for preventing severe COVID-19 outcomes and 
should remain a public health priority to mitigate the 
burden of COVID-19, especially among older patients 
and those with underlying conditions,” the study empha-
sized. “An online survey of 1,200 previously vaccinated 
US adults found that among the most common reasons 
for not receiving a bivalent booster dose were lack of 
awareness related to eligibility and availability of the 
vaccine and overconfidence in perceived immunity 
against COVID-19 infection and severe disease. As such, 
public health messaging should emphasize not only the 
availability of updated COVID-19 vaccines but also 
the importance of staying up to date with vaccination 
to reduce their risk of hospitalization and death from 
COVID-19.”
In light of declining COVID-19 vaccination uptake 
and an increasing emphasis on risk-based clinical deci-
sion-making rather than simple eligibility criteria, the
9 6 
Impact of Risk Factor Combinations on Severe COVID-19  
Outcomes Among Outpatients
Effects of number of risk factors on 30-day severe COVID-19 in adults with COVID-19 in the outpatient 
setting. The adjusted odds ratios (aOR) are estimated from multivariable analysis of the data. The 
multivariable unconditional logistic regression models compared individuals with one risk factor (reference 
group) to those with two, three, four, and so forth, risk factors and controlled for sex (male or female), 
race (white or other/unknown), ethnicity (Hispanic/Latino or non-Hispanic/Latino or unknown), region 
(Northeast, Midwest, South or West), and deprived (yes or no, based on area deprivation index). Analysis 
conducted in entire cohort (n = 379,144)
Source:  Impact of Risk Factor Combinations on Severe COVID-19 Outcomes Among Outpatients. Infect Dis Ther. 2026 Mar 25. 
doi: 10.1007/s40121-026-01328-1. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 41882459.

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